nccapitalgroup Milken Report: Raleigh #1

Milken Report: Raleigh #1

Raleigh continues to rank high by independent third party groups, the latest being the Milken Institute.

See our Raleigh-focused summary of the report below.

These types of reports confirm our geographic focus on suburban and exurban communities surrounding Raleigh. We continue to look at neighborhood shopping centers and multi-family for low-risk, stable cash flow in the following smaller cities that support the growth of Raleigh:

CityPopulationDistance (miles)
Apex, NC5878015
Wake Forest, NC4760118
Holly Springs, NC4594520
Fuquay-Varina, NC4081021
Garner, NC336697
Morrisville, NC2963013
Clayton, NC2630716
Knightdale, NC197039
Wendell, NC1244017
Rolesville, NC1066116
Louisburg, NC306429

Raleigh-Focused Summary

1. Raleigh, NC: The Best-Performing Large City

  • Ranked #1 among large metropolitan areas in the U.S. for the first time in over a decade.
  • Outperformed other cities due to strong labor market conditions, a thriving high-tech sector, and robust economic opportunities.
  • Ranked in the top quarter of large metros on 11 out of 13 metrics in the Best-Performing Cities (BPC) index.

2. Labor Market and Job Growth

  • Consistent job growth over the past five years:
    • 9th in five-year job growth.
    • 18th in five-year wage growth.
    • 19th in one-year job growth.
  • Short-term job growth (July 2023 – July 2024) was ranked 22nd, showing continued economic expansion.

3. High-Tech Sector

  • Ranks 5th in the number of high-tech industries with a location quotient (LQ) above 1.
  • Ranks 11th in overall high-tech industry concentration.
  • The city benefits from a steady supply of high-skilled workers from the Research Triangle universities (UNC-Chapel Hill, Duke, and NC State).

4. Economic Opportunities and Affordability

  • Ranks 13th in community resilience, showing economic adaptability and stability.
  • Ranks 30th in housing affordability.
  • Despite rapid population growth due to domestic migration, Raleigh has managed to maintain relatively affordable housing.
  • A construction boom (25% growth in employment in this sector over five years) has helped ease housing pressures.

5. Challenges and Future Considerations

  • Housing prices have risen above the national average since the pandemic.
  • Maintaining a balance between economic growth and affordability will be crucial for Raleigh’s future performance.
  • While its high-tech sector is strong, its recent high-tech growth lags behind some other Tier 1 cities.

See the full Milken Institute Jan 2025 Best Performing Cities report.

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